The Crimea: Europe's Next Flashpoint?
This occasional report by Taras Kuzio examines Russian-Ukraine relations and the future of the Crimea as well as the port of Sevastopol, a key strategic naval base for the Russian navy.
Russian LNG - The Future Geopolitical Battleground
This occasional report addresses the historical shift in the global natural gas industry away from overland pipeline deliveries and toward liquefied natural gas, as well as Russia's move toward becoming a leader in the emerging LNG market.
RUSSIAN AUTHORITIES LOSE CONTROL OVER INGUSHETIA
On the morning of June 9, Lieutenant Colonel Musa Nalgiev, commander of the special-task police squad (OMON) in the republic of Ingushetia, left his home in Karabulak to go to a planning meeting at the Ministry of Interior Affairs. Unlike other days, this time his wife asked him to first drop their three daughters at school. Accompanied by his brother, also an OMON officer, and his personal driver, Nalgiev climbed into his Russian Niva jeep. The children were in the backseat. As the vehicle reached the nearest intersection, masked rebels jumped out of another car and began firing on Nalgiev's jeep. Everybody in the car -- including the three girls -- died instantly (Kommersant, June 10).
Almost simultaneously, another group of gunmen assassinated Galina Gubina in the village of Sleptsovskaya. Gubina had been a deputy head of the Sunzha district administration.
The number of rebel attacks in Ingushetia has increased significantly since early spring. On February 27, Ingush insurgents kidnapped Magomed Chakhkiev, a deputy to the Ingush parliament and a relative of Ingush President Murat Zyazikov. Despite official claims that he had been freed in May as a result of a special operation, the Ingushetia.ru website, the main voice of the Ingush opposition, reported that the gunmen were paid a $10 million ransom (Ingushetia.ru, May 2). On May 17, Dzhebrial Kostoev, a deputy minister of interior affairs of Ingushetia, was killed by a car bomb.
At the beginning of summer the rebels set up a special mobile unit that moves around the region by car. Both the OMON commander and Gubina were killed by such groups. Insurgents also used this tactic to attack a car carrying Federal Security Service (FSB) officers on June 4 and a military jeep with Russian troops on June 7. Two FSB officers and a military officer died in these attacks. Both attacks took place in the city of Nazran, a major Ingush city, in broad daylight.
This morning, June 15, Radio Liberty reported that three rebels had been killed near the Ingush village of Ali-Urt, while the Ingush insurgency reports, through Kavkaz Center, that during the last five days there were several clashes between Russian troops and insurgents in Ingushetia. The rebels claim that Russian losses are 10 to 15 dead and many wounded, while they lost two gunmen -- one was killed by shrapnel and one in a shoot-out.
As the attacks increasingly weakened the local law-enforcement system, the Ingush insurgency started to target the pro-Russian authorities in the republic. On May 18, one day after Kostoev's assassination, three masked gunmen slipped in the home of a senior official from the Ingush branch of the Russian Ministry of Emergencies (Interfax, May 18). On June 1, a car carrying the Ingush minister of health was attacked by gunfire, but the minister escaped unharmed.
Gubin's death was a particularly hard blow for Russian interests in Ingushetia. She had worked out and begun implementing a special federative program to return ethnic Russians to the republic. Gubina had personally met with Russian President Vladimir Putin in March, when he endorsed the program (regnum.ru, March 30).
The assassinations of Kostoev, Gubina, and Nalgiev clearly indicated that extra measures were needed to stop the latest wave of rebel attacks. The Kremlin has already taken steps to isolate the region from other parts of the North Caucasus. In March the airport was closed under the pretense of repairs. Checkpoints at the Ingushetia-Kabardino-Balkaria and Ingushetia-North Ossetia borders were reinforced. In May, a special emergency response police squad was set up in North Ossetia to guard the border with Ingushetia (Itar-Tass, May 18).
Russian security officials know that the rebels hide out in the mountain forests in southern Ingushetia, and Russian troops launched an offensive against the militants on June 11. They were joined by FSB Special Forces who combed the forests near the village of Yandiri, a strategically important area located between the mountains and the valley. One official report says that law-enforcement agents located a rebel base, but the militants themselves had managed to retreat deeper in the mountain forests (Interfax, June 11). However, the FSB officers were able to seize a car, some ammunition, and food supplies. Quoting local sources, Ingushetia.ru reported that sounds of heavy shooting were heard coming from the area, but officials did not report any direct clashes. At the same time, the rebels claimed that four operatives of FSB Spetsnaz were killed during the fighting near Yandiri and many more were wounded (Kavkaz Center, June 11).
On June 14, the security officials started a new operation on a much larger scale. This time some 20 helicopters were used to scour the forests near the villagers of Ali-Urt and Surkhakhi (two settlements near the Ossetian border) for rebels. First, gun ships bombed the area with missiles, and then airborne troops landed near the forest. They moved forward while APCs brought up the rear (Kavkazky Uzel, June 14). The press service of the FSB's Ingush branch said that the troops were looking for a group of 20 or 25 gunmen who were allegedly hiding near the villages. However, no rebels were found. The operation ended in the afternoon, and at night the rebels responded by detonating a bomb near a police checkpoint on Ossetian territory near the Ingush border (Kavkazky Uzel, June 14).
The recent events in Ingushetia indicate the advances made by the local insurgency in their efforts to control the region and to effectively fight Russian troops. If the authorities fail to improve the situation quickly, the Kremlin could face the prospect of losing Ingushetia and turning the region into a haven for regional insurgents.
Publications
Eurasia Daily Monitor
Global Terrorism Analysis
China Brief
North Caucasus Analysis
Militant Leadership Monitor
Donate To Jamestown
New From Jamestown
Breaking News:
The South Caucasus 2021: Oil, Democracy and Geopolitics
May 4, 2012 04:32 PM
A retrospective of the 20 years of independence experienced by the countries of the South Caucasus clearly demonstrates the difficulties involved in building a state and restoring an economy after more than 70 years of Soviet rule. Each one of the three post-Soviet republics of the South Caucasus – Azerbaijan, Georgia and Armenia – has chosen its own path of development; each is developing its own particular model of political, economic and socio-cultural transformation. At the same time, the se...
Kindle Books
December 20, 2011 11:10 AM
You've asked and we've delivered.
Books and Reports which have been published by The Jamestown Foundation will now be available for a substantial discount on Kindle.
Books can be purchased for $9.95 and Occasional Reports can be purchased for $3.95-$7.95 in the United States.
International purchases will be priced based on the exchange rate at the equivalent of the USD price.
Current titles available for purchase on Kindle include:
A History of Islamist Militancy in Pakistani Punjab...
The Reform Of Russia's Conventional Armed Forces: Problems, Challenges, & Policy Implications
October 6, 2011 02:28 PM
The Reform of Russia's Conventional Armed Forces: Problems, Challenges and Policy Implications, traces the complex origins of the reform, its numerous twists and assesses the key challenges it faces. Roger N. McDermott examines the obstacles confronting the Russian defense planners as they seek to transform the military education system, encourage high standards among the officer corps combined with forming suitable non-commissioned officers and overcoming the weaknesses of the domestic defense ...
Volatile Borderland: Russia and the North Caucasus
May 20, 2011 09:54 AM
In Volatile Borderland: Russia and the North Caucasus, The Jamestown Foundation presents a collection of essays by leading experts on the North Caucasus that allows for an in-depth look at the key developments, movements and personalities that have shaped the region since the start of the second Russo-Chechen war in 1999. This volume represents a rare and comprehensive collection of articles by some of the premier experts on the region who participated in two major conferences on the North Cauca...
The Battle for Yemen: Al-Qaeda and the Struggle for Stability
April 21, 2010 10:15 AM
The Battle for Yemen is a rare and comprehensive volume that tackles the facets of instability that currently plague Yemen. It offers a wealth of analysis and keen observations from the experts of The Jamestown Foundation, who have monitored the developments within Yemen since 2004. Combining indigenous sources with original analytical insights, this book represents a vital research tool for those seeking a detailed account of Yemen's struggle for stability, the various movements that shape the ...
The Sultan’s Raiders: The Military Role of the Crimean Tatars in the Ottoman Empire
May 18, 2013From the fourteenth to the seventeenth centuries, the Christian nations of Europe and the Shiites of Persia were forced to defend their lands against the inroads of an ever expanding Ottoman Empire, an empire whose awesome war...
Militant Leadership Monitor - April Issue
April 29, 2013This issue of Militant Leadership Monitor includes profiles of Saudi Arabia's Ahmed Abdullah Saleh al-Khazmari al-Zahrani, AQIM's Jemal Oukacha, Libya's Isa Amd al-Majid, the Niger Delta's al-Haji Mujahid Dokubo-Asari (Part Two),...
Militant Leadership Monitor - March Issue
March 29, 2013This issue of Militant Leadership Monitor includes in-depth analyses of Ansaru's Khalid al-Barnawi, the Niger Delta's al-Haji Mujahid Dokubu-Asari, succession scenarios after Talabani, and the second part of a who's who in...
Militant Leadership Monitor - February Issue
February 28, 2013This issue of Militant Leadership Monitor includes in-depth portraits of Tripoli's Hussam Abdullah Sabbagh, Hamas Political Bureau Chief Khalid Meshaal, Egypt's Muhammad al-Zawahiri and the Toulouse gunman Muhammad...
Pakistan's Tribal Militants: A Militant Leadership Monitor Special Report
February 27, 2013In this Special Report “Pakistan’s Tribal Militants: Profiles from the Pashtun and Baloch Insurgencies,” we examine some of Pakistan’s tribal militant leaders in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) and the North West...
Militant Leadership Monitor - January Issue
January 30, 2013This issue of MLM features profiles of Alghabass ag Intallag, Syrian Major General Abdulaziz al-Shalal, Who’s Who in the Jordanian Opposition, Mullah Nazir the "good Taliban", and Female PKK leader Sakine...
Straddling Russia and Europe: A Compendium of Recent Jamestown Analysis on Belarus
January 30, 2013This report features a collection of recent analysis written in Jamestown's flagship publication, Eurasia Daily Monitor. The included articles were written by Jamestown's foremost experts on Belarus and cover a wide array of...
Mayhem in Mali: A Militant Leadership Monitor Report
December 29, 2012In this Quarterly Special Report (QSR) on Mayhem in Mali, we focus on the various Islamist fighters who have taken over northern Mali. The QSR includes profiles of important personalities in the Sahel region such as Abou Zeid, a...
Northern Nigeria's Boko Haram The Prize in al-Qaeda's Africa Strategy
November 26, 2012The Occasional Paper, entitled “Northern Nigeria’s Boko Haram: The Prize in Al-Qaeda’s Africa Strategy” is now available for purchase on our website. This Occasional Paper examines the evolution of al-Qaeda’s Africa strategy...
Elections Issue: Militants in Libyan Politics: A Militant Leadership Monitor Special Report
August 16, 2012In this Special Report on the Libya Elections we examine the entrance of militant leaders into the political scene as the country recovers from several decades of Gaddafi's rule. This 2012 Quarterly Special Report features five...
















