Gazprom's European Web

Gazprom's European Web

This occasional report by Roman Kupchinsky examines Russia's state-owned gas monopoly Gazprom, exposing the threat this organization poses to European energy security.

Russian LNG - The Future Geopolitical Battleground

Russian LNG - The Future Geopolitical Battleground

This occasional report addresses the historical shift in the global natural gas industry away from overland pipeline deliveries and toward liquefied natural gas, as well as Russia's move toward becoming a leader in the emerging LNG market.

Beyond the Afghan Trauma: Russia's Return to Afghanistan

Beyond the Afghan Trauma: Russia's Return to Afghanistan

As Russia grapples with the Afghan question and its security implications, this report takes a closer look at Russia's re-entry to the region after a twenty-year absence.

Postponed Military Exercise Tests Turkish-Israeli Cooperation

Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor Volume: 6 Issue: 189
October 15, 2009 02:38 PM Age: 117 days
Category: Eurasia Daily Monitor, Home Page, Military/Security, Turkey, Middle East

Image of a joint exercise that took place in 2005

Turkish-Israeli relations face a new test over Ankara's decision to change the format of a joint international military exercise to a national exercise. Following some Israeli officials' charges that the move was based on political motivations, the Turkish side called on Tel Aviv to behave more sensibly.

Turkey has held the Anatolian Eagle exercise regularly since 2001 in an attempt to promote closer air defense cooperation among friendly nations, including the United States and Israel. The exercises were scheduled to be conducted in three different stages throughout the year. However, the Turkish Chief of the General Staff General Ilker Basbug announced on October 7 that in consultation with other participants, the international part of the third stage of the exercise, which was to be carried out on October 10-23, would be postponed. Instead, the exercise would be executed as a national operation in the central Anatolian city of Konya (www.tsk.tr, October 7).

Israeli media reports quoted Israeli military officials who were arguing that the participation of Israel in the drills, which would have included the United States and NATO, was prevented as a result of the recent row between Turkey and Israel over its offensive into the Gaza Strip earlier this year. They maintained that the United States and Italy withdrew from the exercises in reaction to Israel’s exclusion by Turkey (Jerusalem Post, October 11). A statement from the Israeli Defense Force Spokesman’s Office argued that “the exercise was postponed due to a Turkish decision to change the composition of the participants and not allow the Israeli Air Force to participate, a decision we were informed of only several days ago” (www.israelnationalnews.com, October 12).

However, in an exclusive interview with CNN the Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu also contributed to the controversy. Although a U.S. embassy representative in Ankara said that the exercise was only postponed, the CNN report considered the developments as effectively “scrapping” the exercises. Moreover, the report interpreted Davutoglu's remarks to mean that Turkey deliberately excluded Israel from the exercise, “partly because of Ankara’s criticism of Israel’s Gaza offensive almost a year ago” (www.cnn.com, October, 12).

In a written statement, the Turkish foreign ministry stressed that the developments were clearly communicated to Turkey’s partners and it would be incorrect to attribute the cancellation of the international part of the exercise to any political motives. The statement also added that the remarks and evaluations by Israeli officials were unacceptable and Turkey invited them to use their common sense (www.mfa.gov.tr, October 12). According to the Turkish press, diplomatic circles in Turkey were also disturbed by the CNN report, which they described as a misrepresentation. They maintained that the cancellation of the exercises was not meant to punish Israel in any way, but they were purely technical (Today’s Zaman, October 13). The announcements by the foreign ministry and the chief of staff, however, did not explain the reasons that led Turkey to reconfigure the exercises as a national activity. Other Turkish press sources, citing unnamed officials, however, maintained that “there was government pressure on the military to postpone the drills (Hurriyet Daily News, October 12).

The joint Turkish-Syrian High Level Strategic Council meeting which was held this week also added to discomfort on the part of Israeli officials (ANKA, October 13). Responding to reporters' questions on these developments following his meeting with his Syrian counterpart Velid Muallim in Aleppo, Davutoglu reiterated that everyone in the region should behave sensibly. “Israel should respect sacred values. If they show respect, a peaceful environment will emerge in the region,” Davutoglu added. Muallim praised this decision and argued that “this decision reflects Turkey's stance against Gaza. It pleased us” (Cihan, October 13).

Speaking to al-Arabiya television in an interview, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan also said “we listened to the voice of our people,” and excluded Israel from the exercise. His comments were confirmed by a Turkish government spokesman on Wednesday (www.worldbulletin.net, October 14).

The recent row over the Anatolian Eagle exercises mirrors another controversy earlier this year. When Turkey held its first ever military exercises with Syria on the joint border in April, Israeli officials expressed their displeasure, with the Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak describing the exercises as “disturbing.” Again the Turkish government and military officials reacted to these remarks, raising bilateral tension (EDM, May 1).

Whatever the real motivations behind Ankara's decision to change the format of the Anatolian Eagle military exercise, this episode shows the growing sense of mistrust between the two countries that were once considered as forming an undeclared alliance in the region. Despite the formal statements from both sides aimed at healing the damage caused by Turkey's harsh reaction to Israel's military operations in Gaza, as epitomized by Erdogan's walkout from the Davos meeting (EDM, January 30), it appears that it will be difficult to revert back to the pre-Davos period. Since Davos, Tel Aviv has expressed clearly its reluctance to accept Turkish mediation between Syria and Israel, arguing that Turkey has lost its impartial position (EDM, July 23).

Following the latest row, Israeli defense sources and analysts maintained that Tel Aviv might seek to retaliate against such actions by Ankara. They suggested that Israel might reconsider the sale of advanced weapons systems to Turkey, and that the Israeli lobby might cease to support Turkey against the Armenian lobby’s activities in Washington over the alleged Armenian “genocide” issue. Israeli analysts maintain that such controversial steps by Ankara raise questions as to whether Turkish foreign policy has been reoriented toward the Middle East (Jerusalem Post, October 12). This question is increasingly being asked in Western political circles. Indeed, in implicit confirmation of the arguments of the skeptics of the new Turkish foreign policy, as Turkey’s relations with Israel worsen, it has started to deepen ties with its Arab neighbors, including Syria (EDM, September 18). The AKP will come under increasing pressure to convince its international partners that its new openings in foreign policy to normalize ties with the Middle East is complementary to its traditional foreign policy priorities, and not a drift from its Western orientation.


Email this article to a friend

Publications

Eurasia Daily Monitor

Eurasisa Daily Monitor

Global Terrorism Analysis

Global Terrorism Analysis

China Brief

China Brief

North Caucasus Analysis

North Caucasus Weekly Recent From Turkey

Donate To Jamestown

Click Here To Donate Now

New From Jamestown

Breaking News:

Britain & the North West Frontier: Strategy, Tactics and Lessons

By:Jules Stewart

December 17, 2009 10:21 AM

The tribal areas of Pakistan’s North-West Frontier Province (NWFP) fully deserve President Barack Obama’s description as “the most dangerous place in the world”. This remote and inhospitable region is only nominally under Pakistan's administration and its Pashtun tribesmen have a long history of opposing outside rule on their homeland. The Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) have today become a haven for the most vicious and desperate elements of the Islamist insurgency. This includes Os...


Cat: Report, Book

The South China Sea Dispute: Increasing Stakes and Rising Tensions

November 20, 2009 11:14 AM

Tensions are on the rise in the South China Sea. Longstanding sovereignty disputes over the profusion of atolls, shoals and reefs that dot the 1.2 million square miles of sea, allied to extensive overlapping claims to maritime space, have been a source of serious interstate contention over the years, especially during the 1990s. A brief easing of tensions occurred in the first half of this decade due in part to China’s more accommodating and flexible attitude, which was part of a diplomatic “cha...


Cat: Report, Book, China and the Asia-Pacific, Featured, Home Page

Who's Who in the Somali Insurgency: A Reference Guide

September 30, 2009 02:45 PM

The ongoing struggle for control of Somalia is one of the world’s most complicated. With the country already effectively split into three parts, it may be too late to speak of a Somali nation. While the popular conception of this conflict pits al-Qaeda associated Islamists against a presumably Western-friendly Transitional Federal Government (TFG) that has the support of major Western powers and the United Nations, the reality is far more complex. Somalia is beset by separatist forces, clan riva...


Cat: Report, Book, Home Page, Featured

China's Quasi-Superpower Diplomacy: Prospects and Pitfalls

September 2, 2009 11:19 AM

The year 2009 will go down in history as a watershed for the epochal expansion of China’s global influence. With its economy tipped to grow at 8 percent despite the world financial crisis, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) is widely regarded as a prime locomotive for economic recovery worldwide. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is building nuclear submarines and aircraft carriers, and the country’s first astronaut is expected to set foot on the moon before 2015. Taking advantage of the dama...


Cat: Book, Report, Featured, Home Page

Beyond the Afghan Trauma: Russia's Return to Afghanistan

By:Marlene Laruelle

August 11, 2009 04:06 PM

Russian authorities are extremely divided about the right position to take as Moscow increasingly concerns itself with the Afghan question. They have continually criticized NATO’s decisions though, at the same time, many Russian politicians recognize that the coalition’s failure to stabilize Afghanistan would place Russia in great danger. To carry out its re-entry policies, Moscow is seeking to revitalize Russophile lobbies in Afghanistan. Russian economic stake in Afghanistan is also showing si...


Cat: Report, Book
go to Archive ->

Azerbaijan and the West: Strategic Partnership at Eurasia's Crossroads

August 3, 2009

Jamestown presents a complete summary of the May 14, 2009 event entitled Azerbaijan and the West: Strategic Partnership at Eurasia's Crossroads featuring discussions by Senior Fellow Vladimir Socor, Dr. Brenda Shaffer and Daniel...

Category: Report

Russian LNG - The Future Geopolitical Battleground

June 26, 2009

The global natural gas industry is undergoing a historical shift away from overland pipeline deliveries of gas and gradually towards Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), shipped by seaborne tankers designed to supply distant markets...

Category: Report, Book

The Changing Face of Islamist Militancy in North Africa

March 17, 2009

The Changing Face of Islamist Militancy in North Africa contains the proceedings of a panel from Jamestown's December 2008 conference entitled "The Expanding Geography of Militant Jihad."

Category: Report, Book

The Impact of the Russia-Georgia War on the South Caucasus Transportation Corridor

March 3, 2009

 

*Click here to view the full PDF of this report

Executive SummaryThe August 2008 war in the Caucasus revealed the new strategic realities that have emerged in the Black Sea / Caspian Region in recent years. These realities...

Category: Report, Georgia

Gazprom's European Web

February 18, 2009

For over a decade the proliferation of so-called “Gas Trading” companies in Europe has destabilized the EU energy market and possibly criminalized it as well. The appearance of such companies as RosUkrEnergo, the Centrex group of...

Category: Book, Russia, Energy, Report

The Georgia Crisis and Russia-Turkey Relations

November 26, 2008

*Click here to order a copy of this report online!*

 

The August 2008 Russia-Georgia war has triggered some major shifts in regional geopolitics. The Caucasus crisis also directly affected the relationship between the two main...

Category: Turkey, Russia, Report

Who's Who in the Azerbaijani Opposition

November 3, 2008

On October 15, Azerbaijanis will go to the polls to elect their next president. Seven candidates are running for the most prestigious and powerful position in the country. Who will become Azerbaijan’s president for the upcoming...

Category: Report

Arming for Asymmetric Warfare: Turkey’s Arms Industry in the 21st Century

June 19, 2008

 

Located at the strategic crossroads of Europe, Asia, the Caucasus and the Middle East, Turkey still maintains a vast conscript army of over one million men, the second-largest in NATO and the largest in Europe. Major reforms to...

Category: Report

"Turkey and Northern Iraq: An Overview"

February 29, 2008
Category: Report