Changing of the Guard: Beijing Grooms Sixth-Generation Cadres for 2020s
“Changing of the Guard: Beijing Grooms Sixth-Generation Cadres for 2020s” details the major generational changes that will take place in the party-and-state leadership at the 18th Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Congress set for October 2012. While Fifth Generation leaders like Vice-President Xi Jinping remain poised to accede to the position of general secretary and state president—and First Vice-Premier Li Keqiang will succeed Wen Jiabao as premier— General Secretary and President Hu Jintao has been personally overseeing the transition of power to-Fifth- and-Sixth-Generation cadres—a reference to officials born respectively in the 1950s and 1960s. With this report, JTF examines elite Chinese politics, especially factional intrigue and the grooming of China’s next leadership corps, in the run-up to and after the 18th Party Congress.
Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary
II. Key Findings and Pointers to the Future
III. Personnel Arrangements at the 18th CCP Congress in 2012
IV. Grooming the Sixth-Generation Leadership
V. The Return of Maoism and other Conservative Values
VI. The Treacherous Trajectory of Chinese Politics
VII. Conclusion: The Dubious Quality of Younger-Generation Leaders Could Affect the Nation's Quest for Quasi-Superpower Status
VIII. Tables 1, 2, 3: Fourth, Fifth and Sixth Generation Leaders
IX. About the Author
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